Forecasting HW – 3 questions (Excel) Engineering Assignment Help

Discussion 2

Thinking and other cognitive processes such as analysis and synthesis depend upon many variables, both internal and external. Each person has learned patterns of thinking that are a result of culture, ethnicity, education and genetics.

Choose ONE of the following to answer in this discussion forum:

1. Discuss a previous experience when you had a disruption in your own critical thought processes because of a particular situation, anxiety, or lack of confidence. Explain how you could overcome the disruption of thinking if you experienced the same situation today. Specifically, how might you alter your way of thinking when internal forces or variables confront you?

OR

1. Discuss a previous experience when you had a disruption in your own critical thought processes because of external environmental issues such as societal rules, work environment or a cultural or generational “disconnect” caused disruption in your critical thinking. How might you handle this situation differently knowing what you know now?

Please support your initial discussion and opinions with at least two citations from the assigned readings, or peer-reviewed professional nursing literature.

I need literature reviews for 8 articles individually. So each article will have it’s own literature review. Each literature reviews is about 2 pages. So the total pages for the 8 articles will be about 16 pages.

The following are suggestions for thought when examining each “facet” of the research.

Title

Was it succinct and clearly stated

Accurately represents the work

Author

Qualifications

Problem

Inclusive and clearly stated

Concepts were researchable

Rationale for study was clearly identified

Review of the Literature

Deal with the problem concepts

Flows from lease relevant to most relevant

Primary sources were used

References current

Appropriate classic sources included

Documentation was clear and complete

Review was summarized at the end with implications for proposed study

Study Framework

Necessary concepts included

Concepts present succinctly

Concepts/theory served as foundation for the methodology

Purpose/Hypothesis

Clearly derived from the concepts/theoretical framework

If appropriate to the study, it was clearly stated

Hypothesis was clearly derived from the purpose

If hypothesis stated, it was testable

Variables were operationally defined

Assumptions

Were clearly defined and stated

Were valid

Definitions

Necessary definitions were included

All definitions were included

Sample

Population criteria defined

Criteria appropriate to the population/hypothesis

Sampling technique described

Response rate identified

Sample size adequate

Human rights protected

Sample mortality

Data Collection Methods

Methods clearly and logically described

Methods appropriate for the hypothesis/question

Methods appropriate for subjects and settings

Tools and measurements

Method of development

Author of each instrument

How the instrument/tool was used in the study

Scoring methods described

Reliability data provided for each instrument

Validity data provided for each instrument

Likely sources of error described and controlled

Method for manipulation of independent variable described

Findings/Statistical Analysis

Evidence apparent that procedures were conducted as planned

Analysis dealt with all information that was gathered

Technique of statistical appropriate to the level of data

Findings were summarized and consistent with those expected

Stated findings were related to the hypothesis/question

Interpretations reached were justified by the findings

Conclusions reached were justified by the findings

Areas of additional study were identified and consistent with findings

Study sufficiently clear to allow for replication

What was missing? Did they leave out any population characteristics, how data was handled or allude to information they collected but did not present?

Guidelines for Written Assignments:

• Objective: To prepare a review of the literature pertinent to a selected problem for healthcare research and to use that review to propose a methodology to address the problem.( I already picked the topic of the problem)
• Conduct a search of literature relevant to the problem/topic. Identify a minimum of 8 references ( I attached the 8 articles) which are randomized clinical trials.
• Prepare a preliminary list of these references in AMA format
• Read the articles with the focus of preparing a document that will compare and contrast the information in the articles you found.
• The reader of your literature review should be able to clearly identify the gaps in the knowledge in the problem area as well as the purpose of the study you are proposing. The number of pages in this assignment vary according to the problem length and complexity of the articles reviewed and critiqued. You should be able to write enough to create an effective argument but not so much that the result looks padded
• For the tutor:

• I uploaded the 8 randomized controlled trails articles
• My topic for healthcare research is: The effectiveness of physical exercise to prevent gestational diabetes.
• I also uploaded previous work for the class to see an example for what the instructor wants

Follow along from the last unit’s scenario serving as a relatively new planner with a county emergency management (EM) team. There is one major difference for this unit however; this week you must select an actual county (for which you will provide a pseudonym) to serve as a model for your assessments. You will need to familiarize yourself with your selected county’s infrastructure, threats and hazards, vulnerabilities, budgetary challenges, and other assorted relevant details. You will use this same county for future assignments, so no research you do here will be wasted.

In your capacity as an EM Planner, you have impressed the Director of County Emergency Management with your knowledge of existing federal policy and doctrine. You recognize that at the county level, operators often focus on operations, tactics and skills sets. But you’ve also learned through your education that strategic plans and frameworks can be essential for laying the foundation and provide a baseline from which plans et al. can be drawn. The strategic framework that is provided in the quadrennial homeland security review (QHSR) presents a common focus as well for every community, to help align the goals and objectives of entities at all governmental levels, in all sectors, and including individuals or collectives of citizens and groups.

The QHSR also serves to present users with a better understanding of concepts that were never previously well-defined, including that of homeland security. Essential principles, priorities, and vision are incorporated, reflected the basic components of a solid strategy. Remembering that strategy is broad, conceptual, and in this case the means for providing a framework, it should not be confused, nor used for specific procedures, prioritization, nor any thorough understanding of a given organization’s (other than DHS) roles and responsibilities.

For this unit’s individual project, you will read the entire QHSR. After reading the QHSR, choose two of the five missions that are discussed within it to examine and apply to your community. Pay close attention to the goals that are subordinate to each mission as well. (You would normally apply all five missions, but in this case, time and space are limitations.)

After reading the QHSR, you will draft a policy statement for it. Note that a policy statement is intended to reflect the evaluation of a policy’s relevance or applicability for specific usage. In this case, you will craft a policy statement revealing your evaluation of the QHSR and its value for guiding the county in preparing emergency response plans. Your policy statement will serve to educate members of your county’s EM team and also provide a means for you to offer specific recommendations relating to those portions of the QHSR that you consider most meritorious for the county’s consideration.

In a 5–7 page policy statement, you will do the following:

Provide a brief review of the purpose of the QHSR and your assessment as to its potential value for the county as it rewrites old plans and develops new ones.

As you have a page limitation, this assessment should not exceed one full page.

Consider and capture, in your own words, a definition and the usefulness of various terms in the QHSR, including homeland security, preparedness, and homeland security enterprise. Add other terms as you deem necessary.

Tie these terms to other strategies, frameworks, policies with which you are familiar, or which you studied in this course.

The National Response Framework (NRF) and National Incident Management System (NIMS) are two strategic documents that you might use.

Select two of the five missions—and each one’s listed goals—that are outlined in the QHSR that you will advise your county to begin with, aiding the team members to become educated about the strategic framework and its many elements and making connections from strategy to local community operational use. In choosing which missions you select, you might contemplate some of the following components:

Mission 1: Preventing Terrorism and Enhancing Security

This mission is very expansive, as is each subordinate goal

Think about whether terrorism is a truly likely threat—of course terrorism can occur everywhere, but limited resources compel communities to allocate these judiciously with maximum benefit for least cost

Think about the likelihood of weapons of mass destruction, or chemical, biological, radiological, or nuclear (CBRN) capabilities being used in your county

Mission 2: Securing and Managing Our Borders

Consider whether your county is reasonably concerned with border issues

Does your county include ports (air, sea, rail, or land)?

What prevalence is there of transnational criminal activity?

Mission 3: Enforcing and Administering Our Immigration Laws

Is immigration a concern for your county or state? Could it be in the future?

Which population seems the greatest concern, if any?

Mission 4: Safeguarding and Securing Cyberspace

Cyber threats exist for all critical infrastructure and operations that support communities.

This may be especially critical if information technology is an industry in your region.

Mission 5: Ensuring Resilience to Disasters

If your county has any likely natural (or manmade or accidental) threats or vulnerabilities, this mission can readily be tied to the county’s needs and objectives

Choose your two missions and summarize each one and its goals briefly in your policy statement.

For each mission, make clear and direct connections to the missions and goals and the county’s needs, objectives or capabilities.

Needs could include threats, hazards, or vulnerabilities as you assess them.

You will not need to have first-person or source information to provide details related to the County—you may use your own critical analysis skills and determine what these might be (For example, flooding is unlikely if the county is primarily composed of drought-prone plains.)

Do not exceed seven pages for the body of your paper. Use your own words to make these summaries to the greatest extent possible—but if you lift any material directly from the QHSR, make certain to properly reference it. Do not make your product an opinion piece. While it is based on your perspectives, write affirmatively, using a professional and official tone and language. The words I, our, we, you, (and the like) should not appear anywhere.

Please submit your assignment.

For assistance with your assignment, please use your text, Web resources, and all course materials.

The purpose of the Discussion Board is to allow students to learn through sharing ideas and experiences as they relate to course content and the DB question. Because it is not possible to engage in two-way dialogue after a conversation has ended, no posts to the DB will be accepted after the end of each unit.

Using the CPG and other sources, conduct whatever research is necessary to understand scenario-based, function-based, and capabilities-based planning approaches. To understand the strengths/weaknesses/opportunities/threats (SWOT) analysis planning approach, use any explanatory source that you find, readily available via the Internet. To fully understand all of these approaches, you will need to research other sources to aid you in engaging in the discussion below; find and reference at least three additional resources that you used and explain what value they added to your understanding.

Assignment Guidelines

In 4–5 paragraphs, address the following:

List and describe each of the four planning approaches. For each one explain or provide the following:

How this approach is designed

For what purposes this approach is most commonly used

An example of planning requirements for which this approach would not be ideal

Using any two or more of the planning approaches you have just described and discussed, explain how these might be combined to become useful as a hybrid approach. If you choose a hybrid approach that is not a result of your own original thought, properly cite from where you derived the model.

Describe in detail this existing or proposed hybrid approach. Also explain why you believe the hybrid is superior to any single approach.

Provide and discuss at least two illustrations (real or hypothetical) of how and when your selected or newly proposed hybrid planning approach would be the best choice for emergency planning.

Post a new topic to the Discussion Board that contains your responses to the above questions.

Comment on at least two other students’ posts.